Chinese Premier Calls for More Manufacturing Research Spending as US Congress Weighs Bringing Back R&D Tax Incentives
In 2017, the US Congress enacted the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA), a bill reducing certain US tax revenues between 2018 and 2025 by over $100 billion annually. The cuts were offset by changes to the way the federal government taxes corporations for research & development (R&D) expenses, changes that first went into effect for FY 2022:
Thankfully, Congress appears to be responding to the negative feedback: on January 31, the House of Representatives easily passed a tax bill with overwhelming bipartisan support, which included provisions that would restore immediate tax relief for corporate R&D expenses. The legislation is currently awaiting approval by the US Senate.
Meanwhile, two days prior to the House’s tax bill vote, the second most powerful figure in the Chinese government, premier Li Qiang, made the rounds at high-tech manufacturing operations in the central province of Shaanxi. Home to much of China’s aerospace R&D capacity, including the Xi’an Aerospace Propulsion Institute, the area is also an indispensable node in the global semiconductor supply chain.
The main topic Li emphasized during his visit was the importance of manufacturing innovation. In an official statement, Li said, “If manufacturing companies want to stand firm in a competitive market, they must spare extra money on [R&D].”
According to South China Morning Post (SCMP), China’s R&D gap with the US is starkest when it comes to “applied research, mainly driven by enterprises.” Economist Wu Fuxiang told SCMP that, although China has made some progress over the last ten years in terms of catching up to the US’s R&D labor pool, “It will be harder for China to overtake the US in terms of the size of its R&D workforce in the future.” While Wu predicts that by 2025, the ratio of US to Chinese R&D workers will have fallen from 4-1 to 3-1, he expects the gap to narrow to only 2.8-1 by 2030.
The National Defense Industrial Strategy (NDIS) that was recently released by DoD strongly encourages increased R&D collaboration between the US and its allies and partners, especially as a form of economic deterrence against US strategic competitors. Along these lines, the NDIS recommends that the US lean into the existing strengths of its R&D ecosystem and its network of alliances and partnerships. There are few single actions that could make a bigger positive impact in that direction, than the US Senate’s approval of the bill restoring the previous rules on R&D tax expenses.
It’s hard to say how much of a dampening effect the changed law may have had on the additive manufacturing (AM) industry’s growth potential over the last couple of years. But it’s also hard to imagine that the effect hasn’t been substantial, especially considering that the implementation came at the same time as interest rates rose to the highest levels in decades.
In the context of China’s demonstrated eagerness to breathe more life into its own national R&D capacity, it seems fairly likely that the Senate will officially approve the legislation. If that happens, the effects could start filtering into the AM industry very quickly.
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